We publish our value-bet track record

Why we built an open track record

Fine Line finds soccer value bets with xOdds: our estimate of the true probability, compared to what bookmakers offer. When we publish a pick, we also publish the odds and the suggested stake.

Claiming that process works without showing results is just marketing. So we settle every tip against the final score, at the odds shown when the pick went live, and put the numbers where anyone can check them.

What you can see

On getfineline.app (including this page) you get the headline performance: lifetime ROI, profit in units, hit rate, average odds, and a chart of profit over time.

In the Fine Line app under Value → Track record you also get:

• Breakdowns by bookmaker, market (1/X/2), and league
• Full bet history, each settled pick at the published price
• Model quality views on top of the same settled data

Free users see a sample of daily value bets. Fine Line Pro unlocks the full list and alerts. The settled track record is the same model either way.

How we settle

We settle 1X2 picks using full-time scores. Profit uses the stake we recommended (Kelly-based) and the odds shown in the app when the tip was published, not whatever price you might get later, and not closing lines.

Your price may differ. Past results do not guarantee future performance. Fine Line is a statistical tool; it does not place bets for you.

What this is not

It is not a guarantee you will win. It is not a curated highlight reel. Losing days and muted small samples stay in the data. Low volume bookmakers or leagues are marked so short streaks are not mistaken for signal.

Try it

Download Fine Line, open Value → Track record, or start from the value betting overview. The numbers above update as matches finish.

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